Craps Wagering Strategies
Using Actual Roll Data
Las Vegas (2009-01)
Eric Cybulski
Copyright 2009 by ESC Holdings, LLC All Rights Reserved
ISBN 978-1-4580-9176-5
Smashwords Edition 1
Printed in the United States of America
No part of this book may be reprinted, reproduced, transmitted, utilized in any form by any electronic, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying, microfilming, and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without expressed written permission from the publishers.
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Table of Contents
Chapter
Terms & Definitions
Introduction, Purpose, & Intent
Charting Basics
How To Read The Charts In This Book
Charting Table Trends
Customized Charting
Wagering Strategies
Pass Line
Pass Line with Odds
Inside Numbers (5, 6, 8, and 9)
Hardways
Data Analysis
Question and Answers based on data gathered
Money Management
Conclusions
Things I Learned On This Trip
Appendix
Appendix A - Sample Chart
Sample Chart - Rev 01
Appendix B - Roll Data From Each Casino
Trip Summary & Casino List
Session Summary - Time & Points
Session Summary - Payout
Individual Session Roll Data
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Terms & Definitions
Before going in depth into the analysis of the data it is important to understand some terms and definitions used throughout this book.
Charting – a written record of the shooters and their roll outcomes
Choppy Table – no obvious trend exists
Cold Table – most shooters seven out shortly after establishing the point
Hot Table – shooter is able to roll for a while before sevening out
Session – time played from when you first walk up to a table until you leave
Shooter – the person throwing the dice
Wagering Strategy – a method of placing specific bets
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Introduction, Purpose, & Intent
Many current authors have written about the game of craps using statistics or probability tables to represent the game outcomes. If a mechanical device or machine threw each roll, it might be accurate. In truth, to only use statistics is flawed because it totally ignores other factors such as individual shooter’s ability, shooter fatigue, shooter position at the table, casinos, table lengths, time of day, duration of the throw, etc., which indeed have an impact on the outcome of each and every roll. How else can you explain a “hot table” (Session 16) or “cold table” (Session 11)?
The purpose and intent of this book is to examine the differences between theoretical roll data and actual roll data which takes into account the key variables previously mentioned. In reality, the data collected for over 2100 rolls during this trip was amazingly within .14% to 1% of the 1980 probability table. It is referred to as the 1980 probability table because this is the minimum number of rolls required, using two (2) dice, to eliminate having to deal with fractions in the calculations of the probability table. A breakdown of how the values of the 1980 probability table were calculated can be seen at http://wizardofodds.com/askthewizard/craps-faq.html. Over the entire trip, the actual value closely matched up with the theoretical value, but in the short term (during individual sessions), the actual versus theoretical values varied considerably. At these times, the risk of gain or loss is the greatest. This is what needs to be focused on because many of us simply do not have the time or bankroll to play for 2100+ rolls during a trip. The shorter the total playing time, the more the anomaly can come into play whether bad or good.